Hello crypto traders and investors,
Before we jump into today’s newsletter issue, I need to remind you of the Early Black Friday offer that’s available right now.
This is the biggest one so far – The Rekt Capital Masterclass: 4 Online Courses in 1 Bundle 🚀
For $299, you get:
- Bitcoin Investing Course worth $199
- Altcoin Investing Course worth $199
- Cryptocurrency Technical Analysis Course worth $149
- Cryptocurrency Risk Management Course worth $249
A total value of $796, but you get ALL of these courses in one bundle for only $299…
Saving yourself $497 and get 63% off 🤑
Upon purchase, you unlock lifetime access to the courses and you can watch them any time.
Only 5 days left until the offer expires ⏳
The Bitcoin Halving
Here are a few core principles we need to account for when thinking of the Bitcoin’s price in the context of the Bitcoin Halving.
Firstly - diminishing returns.
Returns prior to and after the Halving seem to be diminishing with each Halving.
Pre-Halving 1 returns amounted to +636%.
Pre-Halving 2 returns amounted to +414%.
Pre-Halving 3 returns amounted to +344%.
And of course post-halving returns.
Post-Halving 1 returns amounted to +8950%.
Post-Halving 2 returns amounted to +4000%.
Post-Halving 3 returns amounted to +623%.
And as a result, the conclusion appears itself that secondly - Bitcoin tends to rally most after the Halving.
Bitcoin rallies more after the Halving than before.
But also the exponentiality of the uptrend is different post-Halving compared to pre-Halving.
The amount of ROI that BTC generates pre-Halving is lesser than post-Halving but at the same time it takes roughly the same time for BTC to generate that pre-Halving ROI vs the amount of time it takes for BTC to generate post-Halving return.
This makes sense - the Bull Market gets progressively more euphoric as it goes on and so the exponentiality of the uptrend post-Halving sees price grow more but what’s interesting is this takes a similar amount of time.
Bitcoin rallies less pre-Halving and more Post-Halving, but these moves take a similar amount of time.
In a nutshell:
Pre-Halving 1, it took 400 days to rally +636%.
Post-Halving 1, it took 371 days to rally +8950%.
Pre-Halving 2, it took 518 days to rally 414%.
Post-Halving 2, it took 546 days to rally +4000%.
Pre-Halving 3, it took 511 days to rally 344%.
Post-Halving 3, it took 539 days to rally 623%.
Here are some more principles when it comes to price in the context of the Halving:
Bitcoin tends to bottom anywhere between 400 to 518 days before the Halving.
And by the same token, what can be said about post-Halving growth?
Bitcoin tends to top out anywhere between 371 to 546 days after the Halving.