The Bitcoin Roadmap

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Welcome to Price Discovery Uptrend 2

Last week, we focused heavily on the post-breakout retest that Bitcoin was experiencing on breaking back above the ReAccumulation Range:

Here's today's update:

Bitcoin successfully retested the Range High as support and has since broken out into Price Discovery once again.

And when we looked at the final major Weekly resistance being retested last week...

With the blue Lower High resistance also being retested to reflect a volatile retest of the final Weekly resistance:

That retest was performed picture-perfectly:

But above all else, the biggest Macro shift here has been a confirmed breakout from the Monthly Range:

Bitcoin is now experiencing Trend Continuation:

So now that we've caught up on the past, let's now look to the future to better understand what awaits Bitcoin going forward.

The Bitcoin Roadmap

Bitcoin has entered into Price Discovery Uptrend 2.

Technically, Bitcoin has began Week 2 in its uptrend, whereas the first Price Discovery Uptrend lasted 7 weeks or so.

So going forward, it will be very important to operate within a similar framework where price could rally up to 7 weeks in Price Discovery Uptrend 2.

However, with successful investing and/or swing trading, the goal is to be less greedy than most.

So should we really be aiming for 7 weeks of upside, or at least be more cautious starting from week 5 and onwards?

Let's reminisce about November 2024 when I posted the following tweet:

This turned out to be a phenomenal plan because Bitcoin entered into its First Price Discovery Correction of -32% in Week 7.

And so going forward, the plan for Price Discovery Uptrend 2 could be very similar:

Weeks 1-3 = Optimistic, Risk-On.

Weeks 4-5 = Cautiously Optimistic, Risk Aware.

Weeks 6-8 = Concerned, Risk-Off.

But if we think critically about previous Price Discovery Corrections across the cycles...

Then only one of them started in Week 8 (2017), one of them started in Week 6 (2021) and and two of them started in Week 7 (2013 and 2025).

Therefore, should we completely forget about an extended rally into Week 8 and simply become less greedy, more conservative, more concerned starting from Week 5?

If the approach is to be more conservative, then the new plan would be:

Weeks 1-3 = Optimistic, Risk-On.

Week 4 = Cautiously Optimistic.

Weeks 5-7 = Concerned, Risk-Off.

In saying that, Altcoins will probably drastically outperform in the final handful of weeks in Price Discovery Uptrend 2, as the buy-side momentum slows down for Bitcoin.