Bitcoin – Relief Rally Next?
Is Bitcoin building a cluster of relief?
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Monthly Range Between $82.5k and $93k
On the Monthly timeframe, price has revisited a key re-accumulation region around $93k (black).
This level previously acted as support, later flipped into resistance, and then reclaimed as support again but price has now lapsed below it, making it an important pivot to track going forward.
Below that, the Three-Month Support at $82.5k (black) remains a major reference point.
This is where Bitcoin built its base before reversing upward earlier in the cycle, and it continues to define the bottom boundary of the current structure.
Together, these levels establish a clear Monthly Range between $82.5k and $93k, framing the broader context for this phase of consolidation.
Weekly Range Aligning With Monthly Levels
On the Weekly timeframe, price action closely reflects the structure seen on the Monthly.
Bitcoin recently dipped into a historical liquidity cluster located just above the March–May 2025 period, where a downside wick tapped the very top of that pool before generating enough buy-side reaction to secure a Weekly Close above it.
That close suggests this region has a strong chance of developing into a base.
Additional downside wicking remains possible as price attempts to onboard more buy-side pressure from within this cluster, potentially even forming a Higher Low.
But as long as Bitcoin continues to stabilise around this area, the early stages of a Weekly Range appear to be forming.
In this context, the Monthly Range spans $82.5k to $93k, while the Weekly is offering a slightly higher Range Low at $86k (black), with the $93k (black) level serving as Range High resistance in both timeframes.
That confluence reinforces the importance of $93k as the Four-Year Cycle Level that Bitcoin needs to reclaim as support before year-end.
A relief rally toward $93k is likely, but if Four-Year Cycle principles hold, there is also a reasonable chance that price will attempt a reclaim rather than reject from that level.
Even a Monthly Close that hovers just above $93k would align with prior cycle behaviour before, later in 2026, Bitcoin potentially lapses back below it following a broader macro relief rally. We’ll explore that macro rally in more detail shortly.