Altcoin Market Update #139

Hello and welcome back to the Rekt Capital Newsletter

In today’s edition, the following cryptocurrencies will be analysed & discussed:

• Aave (AAVE)
• Algorand (ALGO)
• Crypto.com (CRO)
• Litecoin (LTC)
• Render (RENDER)
• Solana (SOL)

But before we dive in, this Friday I’ll chart your Altcoin picks in an exclusive subscriber-only TA newsletter and will cover as many as I can

So if you’d like to have an Altcoin charted, feel free to share max. two TA requests each in the comments below.

I’ll chart the Altcoins that get mentioned and ‘Liked’ the most

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Let's dive in to today's Altcoin Market Update.

Aave – AAVE/USDT

Diving first into Aave, this is a coin we’ve been covering for quite a while now.

When we spoke about Aave back in December 2025, before Christmas, we were talking about how this was a pretty similar fractal, which would probably end up prolonging the early stages of that nascent downtrend.

And by late February, we were already seeing the breakdown back into the $111.971 (blue horizontal) level here.

Overall, things have continued to follow the fractal, whereby even after following that fractal and breaking down, turning the $158.950 (black horizontal) level into new resistance, we’ve seen the transition back into $111.971.

And last month, Aave Monthly Closed below this level.

So it does look like things are setting up to turn $111.971 into new resistance, which would open up Aave to shed another 50% of its valuation as it explores the depths of this previous Macro Accumulation Range from the prior Bear Market.

So turning $111.971 into new resistance would certainly be the trigger for price to continue dwindling within this Macro Range.

Obviously, a Monthly Close back above this level followed by a retest would flip that and make things a little more bullish in the interim, enabling price to occupy the range between $111.971 and $158.950.

But we saw this bullish confirmation in the Halving Year, which means that given where we are in the market cycle, midway through the current Bear Market, it looks unlikely that we’ll be getting that sort of bullish confirmation again.

Which is why turning $111.971 into new resistance remains the more probable outcome from a Macro perspective, with Aave potentially exploring the lower regions of the current range.

Crypto.com – CRO/USDT

When it comes to Crypto.com, the $0.08 region (red) has historically been a key pivot point for macro trends, either rejecting price or acting as support to enable strong rallies.

Last month, price lost this area as support and while a short-term bounce could occur, continued rejection from the red area would likely see CRO dive deeper into the $0.05 to $0.08 range it is now developing.

Historically, this is where Crypto.com has built Macro Ranges and bottoming formations (early 2021 and 2023 clusters) and it will be important to see whether price can spend the next few months within this range to build out a Bear Market bottom.

There is still time for CRO to continue dwindling inside this range and potentially explore the lower depths in search of that final bottoming region, especially as sellers appear to be gradually piling on at this former support (red).